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  Advancing ground-motion modeling through data fusion? Insights combining NGA-West2 data and CyberShake simulations

Liu, X., Cotton, F., Fu, L., Chen, S., Li, X. (2025): Advancing ground-motion modeling through data fusion? Insights combining NGA-West2 data and CyberShake simulations. - Bulletin of Earthquake Engineering, 23, 7147-7168.
https://doi.org/10.1007/s10518-025-02307-6

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 Creators:
Liu, Xianwei1, 2, Author
Cotton, Fabrice2, 3, Author           
Fu, Lei1, 2, Author
Chen, Su1, 2, Author
Li, Xiaojun1, 2, Author
Affiliations:
1External Organizations, ou_persistent22              
2Geo-INQUIRE, External Organizations, ou_5025076              
32.6 Seismic Hazard and Risk Dynamics, 2.0 Geophysics, Departments, GFZ Publication Database, GFZ Helmholtz Centre for Geosciences, ou_146032              

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 Abstract: While the growing number of seismic records enhances our understanding of ground motion, data from large earthquakes remain limited for fully supporting reliable ground-motion modeling. Efforts to integrate simulated and observed data show promise, but a quantitative framework for validation and guidelines for the use of simulated data is yet to be established. This paper addresses these challenges by developing and evaluating a hybrid data-based Ground Motion Model (GMM) using the latest generation of the CyberShake simulation dataset and the NGA-West2 observational dataset for Southern California. A GMM based on symbolic learning is proposed as the candidate equation to explore the properties of this hybrid data approach. After preprocessing the data, GMMs are constructed and compared across three scenarios: using only observed data, only simulated data, and a hybrid of both. The results show that the predicted median values from the GMM calibrated with simulated data align closely with those from the observed data. This study also demonstrates that residuals from all three types of GMMs conform to a lognormal distribution. However, the residual dispersion for simulated data is smaller than that for observed data. Moreover, the standard deviation of the hybrid model decreases progressively as the proportion of simulated data increases. This means that the simulations reproduce the average properties of the ground motion but underestimate the variability and the most severe site and source effects. Additionally, recommendations are provided for building future simulation databases and effectively combining simulated and observed data.

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Language(s): eng - English
 Dates: 2025-10-272025
 Publication Status: Finally published
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 Identifiers: DOI: 10.1007/s10518-025-02307-6
GFZPOF: p4 T3 Restless Earth
OATYPE: Hybrid Open Access
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Title: Bulletin of Earthquake Engineering
Source Genre: Journal, SCI, Scopus
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Pages: - Volume / Issue: 23 Sequence Number: - Start / End Page: 7147 - 7168 Identifier: ISSN: 1570-761X
ISSN: 1573-1456
Publisher: Springer Nature
CoNE: https://gfzpublic.gfz.de/cone/journals/resource/journals57